Written by: Ray Butler
Happy May! The final scores from week 4 look pretty similar to the final scores from week 3. Some of this, some of that. Ben played in a matchup that had a decisive outcome!
Here’s what the projections say will happen in week 5 (Spoiler- we’ve got some high-quality matchups this week):
South Correa vs. Mookie Monsters- Projection: Mookie Monsters wins 8-5-1
The Alabama/LSU matchup of the League of Ruthless Gentlemen. Did you know that Bryce Harper is currently on pace to score 208 runs this season? So far, we’re seeing just how good the Monsters can be when everyone’s healthy. The Correans will put up a good fight (especially with Miguel Cabrera’s reemergence on Tuesday), but it’ll be to no avail.
The Magnificent 7-7s vs. Sausage Party- Projection: The Magnificent 7-7s win 9-5-0
These projections are 1-3 this season when predicting The Magnificent 7-7s (formerly known as the Dominican DDs) do anything other than tie, but they’ll do it again in week 5 anyways. I’m interested to see what the Ian Desmond Coors Field Experience looks like, and what it’ll do for the Sausage Party.
SeagerShine vs. Joe Buck Yourself- Projection: SeagerShine wins 7-5-2
The Battle of the Rebuilders. Three years from now, do we think it’ll still be the Julio Teheran Trade, or will it be the Kevin Maitan Trade? We do know one thing: Objectively speaking, a 7-5 win over Joe Buck Yourself is basically a loss in 2017, just like a 7-5 loss for Joe Buck Yourself is basically a win.
A Krismas Story vs. Logan’s Heroes- Projection: A Krismas Story wins 8-5-1
These two teams are polar opposites of each other. It’ll actually be fun to see how much A Krismas Story dials down the streaming this week. Logan’s Heroes is the biggest surprise we’ve had so far this season. This matchup should be a good one.
The Disabled List vs. Very Good Team- Projection: Very Good Team wins 8-6-0
Another matchup between two heavy hitters. The offense should be plentiful and the pitching could be almost just as good. I think there could be up to five categories still up for grabs on Sunday.
Super Gurriel Bros vs. The Syndergaawds- Projection: The Syndergaawds wins 8-5-1
We wrap our weekly projections up with the FOURTH matchup featuring two teams that should be in the thick of the playoff hunt in the late stages of the season. It truly feels like this contest could go any number of ways and no one would be too surprised. I bet Super Gurriel Bros wins net saves, though.
An updated look at the season long projections..
Rank | Team | Win | Loss | Tie | % | % ∆ | GB |
1 | Mookie Monsters | 199 | 92 | 17 | .684 | +.008 | — |
2 | South Correa | 181 | 107 | 20 | .628 | -.029 | 16.5 |
3 | The Syndergaawds | 167 | 126 | 15 | .570 | -.023 | 33 |
4 | Very Good Team | 166 | 127 | 15 | .567 | -.011 | 34 |
5 | The Disabled List | 160 | 136 | 12 | .541 | +.010 | 41.5 |
6 | A Krismas Story | 157 | 139 | 12 | .530 | -.004 | 44.5 |
7 | Super Gurriel Bros | 154 | 141 | 13 | .522 | +.015 | 47 |
8 | The Magnificent 7-7s | 142 | 155 | 11 | .478 | +.019 | 60 |
9 | Logan’s Heroes | 139 | 156 | 13 | .471 | +.012 | 62 |
10 | Sausage Party | 108 | 187 | 13 | .366 | -.008 | 93 |
11 | SeagerShine | 103 | 190 | 15 | .352 | +.025 | 97 |
12 | Joe Buck Yourself | 81 | 209 | 18 | .279 | -.031 | 117.5 |
Most Overachieving Team: SeagerShine (now projected to win 7 more games than original projection)
Most Underachieving Team: Joe Buck Yourself (now projected to win 7 fewer games than original projection)